Super Bowl LX|Seahawks vs. Patriots: Game Odds, Preview & Best Options

One video game left. Winner take all. The Seattle Seahawks will take on with the New England Patriots this Sunday in Super Bowl LX; live from Levi Stadium in Santa Clara, California

With this being the biggest game of the year, there was no other way I might cover this alone. Thankfully, our very own Danny Burke offered to help shoulder the weight and break down LX.

Excitement is in the air so let's leap right into the big video game.

For extra info on picks, props, moneylines, and more for Super Bowl LX, take an appearance at our NFL Picks Page or our NFL Odds Page.

Game Information

Matchup Information

- Location: Levi Stadium; Santa Clara, California.

• Date: Sunday, February 8th, 2026
• Kickoff: 6:30 PM EST
  
  Quarterback Matchup
  
  - Seattle Seahawks: Sam Darnold (2025: 16-3|237.8 YPG|29 TD|14 INT).
• New England Patriots: Drake Maye (2025: 17-3|246.4 YPG|35 TD|10 INT)
  
  Analysis & Breakdown
  
  What's the Patriot Way? Winning video games, no matter how unsightly it gets.
  
  Last week's matchup with the Broncos was precisely that. It was cold, snowy and winds were blowing every which method. The video game saw less than 400 overall yards in between the two teams, simply 17 overall points and a scoreless 4th quarter.
  
  Drake Maye tossed for a season low 86 yards, completed less than 50% of his passes, but he did run in the one and just Patriots touchdown. Against Houston, Maye threw for 179 backyards, 3 goals, 1 interception and he lost 2 fumbles.
  
  In the postseason, Maye's played 3 games and he's finishing just 55.8% of his passes, balancing 177.7 pass lawns per game, with 4 goal passes and 5 overall turnovers. It hasn't been pretty, but that's why there's two sides of the football.
  
  New England leads all playoff groups in challenger points allowed (8.7/ video game), opponent backyards (208.7/ video game), takeaways (8) and sacks (12.0 ). During the routine season, this defense ranks 4th in points enabled, 9th in pass yards allowed and with Christian Gonzalez back on the field; one of the most feared corners in the game.
  
  The Patriots are developed to win awful, however their also constructed to win quite. Maye's been an MVP candidate for most of the year and he's simply in his very first year as the group's complete time starter. This video game's shaping up to be one for the books and I could not be more ecstatic.
  
  The Seahawks have actually been phenomenal on both sides of the ball, but without this defense it's tough to picture a world in which they make it this far. The Hawks rank 1st in points permitted, 1st in opponent EPA/play (-0.113 ), 3rd in opponent rush lawns and 2nd in challenger lawns per play. They've got the the fifth best redzone defense, rank 6th in total sacks and have actually forced the 5th most turnovers.
  
  Both their coverage unit and protective line have been graded in the top 5 this year and the mastermind behind all of it is Head Coach Mike Macdonald. In simply his second year as a head coach, Macdonald's built one of the most difficult defenses in the NFL and his protective playbook is deeper than some offending playbooks I've seen.
  
  On the offending side, it's been a Klint Kubiak masterclass. He's running this Seahawks offense to perfection and it's lead to the NFL's 3rd best offense, averaging 28.4 points per video game. The group ranks 8th in pass lawns, 10th in rush lawns and 3rd in backyards per play. The problem with Seattle's offense has been Sam Darnold's turnovers.
  
  Darnold lead the league with 20 total turnovers, 14 interceptions and 6 fumbles lost. If not for his defense forcing 25 turnovers of their own, this Seahawks group may look extremely various. Darnold absolutely looked like a leading 10 QB this year but the turnover issues are something to keep an eye on going into the big video game.
  
  Varun's Best Bets
  
  Mack Hollins o24.5 Receiving Yards (-110)|Lucky Rebel
  
  Mack Hollins made his return to the field recently and in spite of seeing just 2 targets, he attracted both for 51 lawns in the frigid temperatures of Denver, Colorado. Hollins has actually likewise cleared this line in 9 of his L11 video games, balancing 5.3 targets and 50.8 receiving backyards per game.
  
  Hollins and Maye have actually established a connection that's been a load of enjoyable to enjoy and one that normally includes use of the deep ball. He's seeing a typical depth of target of 13.3 yards/target, he hasn't dropped a single ball this season and he's getting a bulk of his snaps out wide.
  
  Maye ended up the year top-10 in deep throw rate and Hollins sits 2nd on the group in targets of 20+ lawns. The Seahawks are quiting nearly 70% of their receiving production to outside wide receivers this year and it's why this line just feels a little low.
  
  Byron Murphy II to Record a Sack (+170)|Lucky Rebel
  
  Might sound a little unusual initially, however Byron Murphy II remains in his second year in the NFL and he's been wonderful. He's got 7.0 sacks on the year and regardless of not tape-recording a sack so far in the postseason, he's been a key part of this protective line. Murphy leads the Seahawks in pass rush win rate up until now in the playoffs and he's had the ability to create 7 pressures doing it; just no sacks.
  
  Murphy's likewise using the right side of that defensive line, at the DT area. The Patriots have actually given up 5 sacks up until now in the postseason and 67% of those sacks have actually come from the left side of that offensive line. During the routine season it was more of the same, of the 73% of sacks that could be credited to the offensive line, 45% of that came from the left side; mainly from the interior.
  
  The kid's due to record his very first postseason sack and what better video game to do in.
  
  Danny's Best options
  
  We have actually lastly made it to the huge video game. It's constantly a bittersweet sensation during the two-week lead-up to the Super Bowl, but ideally we remain in for a heck of a game. And of course, with it comes a wide variety of wagering opportunities.
  
  I likewise took a couple of shots in the Super Bowl MVP market. You can click here for a more extensive breakdown of the gamers I'll be sweating to take home the award.
  
  Kenneth Walker o20.5 Receiving Yards (-114)|Lucky Rebel
  
  The very first bet I positioned was Kenneth Walker to go over his 20.5 receiving lawn line. Walker has played a significant function in the death game for much of the season, however we have actually seen a visible uptick in that involvement since his backfield mate, Zach Charbonnet, went down with an injury in the NFC Divisional Round.
  
  Because video game, Sam Darnold targeted Walker 3 times. He captured all three passes and turned them into 29 yards. In the NFC National Championship, Walker took all four of his targets for 49 backyards versus the Rams. He's straight taking advantage of constant volume, and when Darnold feels pressure in the backfield - which he should, given the defensive method we're likely to see from New England - he'll seek to check the ball to among his leading playmakers.
  
  Walker has been excellent at creating area in the death video game, and I anticipate more of the same in the Super Bowl. During the routine season, opposing running backs averaged over 30 getting backyards on roughly five catches per video game versus the Patriots. They've revealed vulnerability to backs through the air, which sets Walker approximately make an effect in that department.
  
  Sam Darnold o2.5 Rushing Attempts (+115)|Lucky Rebel
  
  Credit to our resident intern, Alex Bohling, for screaming this one out on among our programs recently. The cost is sitting as high as +115, which is appealing on its own, however the course to the over is there also.
  
  While mobility isn't usually connected with Darnold, we have actually seen him utilize his legs more regularly as of late. He logged 3 brings in the AFC National championship, none in the Divisional Round blowout where scrambling wasn't essential, and he closed the regular season on a five-game streak with a minimum of 3 hurrying attempts in each contest.
  
  One crucial aspect here is the potential for kneel-downs. I'm anticipating the Seahawks to win this video game, which opens the door for those late-game hurrying attempts to help press this prop over the number if Darnold doesn't get there through scrambles previously.
  
  More From Danny
  
  As for the video game overall, as I pointed out, I do believe the Seahawks come out on top. That stated, the recent enhancements from this New England defense offer me some time out when it concerns laying -4.5 with Seattle preflop.
  
  I'm not entirely convinced the Patriots defense is as dominant as it's examined the past month, or if that's simply been a byproduct of their competitors. New England played the league's simplest schedule throughout the regular season and graded out as more of a typical defense in general, however they have actually shown a noticeable uptick in the postseason - particularly in the red zone.
  
  Even so, the Seahawks are the more total group, and I still expect them to end up on top. Rather than laying the number pregame, I'll be wanting to assault Seattle live and ideally get a much better number than -4.5.
  
  Looking for More
  
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